Lessons from 2016 Election: Invest, Don’t Predict

Lessons from 2016 Election: Invest, Don’t Predict | Jeff Holland

{2 minutes to read} People often base their investments on their emotions and their predictions. What I want people to realize is that when you’re investing properly, you’re not really making any predictions. You’re using data and empirical research that incorporates information from market participants globally. Predictions can seem very entertaining. They might even be fun, with a small stake of the money. But you only remember your correct predictions. Predictions can cause you to go off the rails and not achieve your financial goals. You should not base your portfolio on predictions. You want to succeed with your financial goals. And if you think you’re smart because you make an accurate prediction, remember you can also be wrong. As John Kenneth Galbraith said, “The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.”

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